I stated, based upon reports, insights from the Scriptures, and common sense, it seems that Russia is striving to accomplish the following objectives:
- Maintain Assad’s rule; Russia’s entry point to the Middle East.
- Cause chaos in the Middle East. That usually means a rise in the price of oil, which is good for Russia as its main export is oil.
- Pave the way for Iran’s military presence in Syria and northern Iraq.
- Secure their position as a major player regarding polices that impact the Middle East; the place of critical waterways that transport oil to the world.
- Maintain a warm water port in Tartus, Syria, likely to never leave the area.
- Maintain a large air presence in Tartus, Syria; likely to never leave.
- Eliminate the terrorists that are striving to unseat Assad. This includes ISIS and the so called “moderate rebels” fighting to overthrow Assad.
- Legitimize Iran as a force to help maintain peace in the Middle East.
- Establish territory for Assad to control that will include Damascus and Aleppo as well as other territory within an imaginary line that runs north to south across the nation. This line will intersect with Jordan in the south and Turkey in the north.
- By mid 2016, Russian and Iranian troops will subdue the moderate rebels and topple ISIS headquarters. This will greatly weaken ISIS and take the spotlight off of them to some degree. Many ISIS fighters will stay in the area and wait for the opportunity to help build the Caliphate again.
Once #10 is accomplished, Russia, Iran and possibly Iraq, will police the area formerly held by ISIS.
Number 10 is relatively close to occurring. Even though I missed the timeline, it would seem that my prognosis was quite accurate. You may want to read the entire post before continuing with post, as this post assumes you have read the December 2, 2015 post.
THIS POST IS MY PROGNOSIS FOR THE FUTURE.
Simply stated, Syria/Russia will control the western portion including all the ports and airfields in the West. Iran and Iraq will eventually control the center and remainder of Syria, excluding the portion in northeast where the Kurds will be in control.
At some point in time, Iran will absorb the Iraqi troops (some will voluntarily join Iran, some will be killed, some will flee back to Iraq). Regardless, Iran will be in control. That will continue until something sparks a war between Turkey and Iran. That war will be nasty, but Turkey will prevail and drive Iran back home. In the process, they are likely to continue into Iraq and butt up to Iran.
Somewhere along the way, Israel will destroy Damascus and this may happen soon or into the future. Soon would be tied to ISIS in the Golan later is likely tied to Iran. At some point, they may decide to go all the way into Damascus. The danger would be war with Russia, but they could agree to control all but the ports and airfields along the coast and far west.
On when it happens will we know when Turkey decides to move on Iran so keep an eye on Iran in terms of their aggressiveness. Only God knows this timeline. Could be a year or two or ten.
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